Economic research and trade policy analysis
Quelques tendances observées sur le moyen terme
Le commerce international des combustibles et des produits pharmaceutiques s’est développé à un rythme supérieur à la moyenne ces dernières années, ce qui a modifié la structure du commerce mondial des marchandises. Ces modifications sont analysées ci-après.
Conclusiones
En las últimas décadas, los servicios se han convertido en la espina dorsal de la economía mundial y en el componente más dinámico del comercio internacional. Cada vez es más fácil comercializarlos, en gran medida gracias a la digitalización. Desde la enseñanza en línea hasta los estudios jurídicos virtuales, la tecnología está penetrando en todos los sectores de servicios y transformando los que tradicionalmente se prestaban de forma presencial en servicios comerciables a distancia. El comercio, que durante mucho tiempo ha estado dominado por el intercambio de mercancías, se vincula cada vez más a los servicios, un proceso que está transformando la economía mundial.
The digital economy, GVCs and SMEs
Although small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) represent the vast majority of firms worldwide, their participation in international trade remains limited relative to their share of overall economic activity and employment as compared to large firms. The rise of the digital economy could, however, open a range of new opportunities for small firms to play a more active role in global value chains (GVCs). This chapter reviews evidence of SME participation in international trade and production networks and looks at how the digitalization of our economies is already affecting, or could affect future, SME contributions to GVCs. New research by Lanz et al. (2018) finds evidence that digitally-connected SMEs in developing countries tend to import a higher share of their inputs than non-digitally-connected firms. Additionally, it is shown that this positive digital effect is greater for SMEs than it is for large firms. The chapter reviews the various opportunities that the digital economy opens for SMEs, especially in terms of cost reductions and the emergence of new business models, but also discusses policy measures that could be taken to promote SME participation in GVCs. Indeed, significant challenges remain for SMEs to enter GVCs, some of which are exacerbated by the new digital economy. A holistic approach that combines investment in ICT infrastructure and human capital with trade policy measures and measures to improve the business environment, access to finance and logistics, and promote innovation and R&D is necessary. Improving the availability of data would also help to better understand and integrate SMEs in GVCs.
Situación del comercio en 2007
En 2007, se desaceleró el crecimiento de la producción y el comercio mundiales. El debilitamiento de la demanda en las economías desarrolladas redujo el crecimiento económico mundial del 3,7 por ciento al 3,4 por ciento, aproximadamente la tasa media registrada durante el último decenio. En las regiones en desarrollo, el crecimiento, próximo al 7 por ciento, fue casi tres veces superior al de las regiones desarrolladas y la contribución de los países en desarrollo al crecimiento de la producción mundial fue superior al 40 por ciento en 2007.1 La expansión económica de los países menos adelantados igualó la tasa de crecimiento del conjunto de los países en desarrollo en 2007, perpetuando un modelo que se mantiene desde el año 2000.
Are there different rules for least-developed countries in a rule-based system?
In July 2012, the WTO General Council agreed on a set of new and improved guidelines to facilitate and accelerate negotiations on the accession to the WTO of least-developed countries (LDCs). The process of acceding to the WTO is complex, time-consuming and resource-intensive for candidate countries, and for LDCs, which have limited institutional and administrative capacity, in particular. The WTO accession process is very much a political process, and requires countries to undertake far-reaching domestic reforms in order to be in a position to implement WTO rules from day one of membership, as well as to benefit from MFN market access from WTO members and vice versa. The prolonged accession process is designed to enable acceding LDCs (and others) to acquire the knowledge and expertise to negotiate not only the terms and conditions for their membership, but also to function as viable members of the rules-based system. This chapter examines the enhanced guidelines and asks whether the WTO needs to improve the procedures for the benefit of LDCs and of the WTO. It examines how the WTO accession process and procedures, as well as the scope of the reforms it requires, compare to EU considerations in the process of its enlargement, and argues that, while the enhanced LDC accession guidelines have made an important contribution, some additional steps may need to be contemplated in the future. However, before a further enhancement is contemplated, it must be understood that the accession process, and the substance of WTO accession negotiations, in all serious institutions, are based on a partnership. This is a fundamental lesson from all successfully completed accessions and enlargement processes. The process is neither unilateral nor automatic.
The WTO agreements relevant to health
The World Trade Organization (WTO) is a relatively new international organization. However, it is responsible for a system that is over 50 years old. Established on 1 January 1995, the WTO replaced the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), which dated back to 1948. This was a consequence of a decision taken by governments after seven and a half years of negotiations (the "Uruguay Round"), which ended in 1994. With the WTO's creation, the rules were expanded to new areas. While the GATT dealt with trade in goods only, the WTO covers trade in services and intellectual property as well. There are also some areas, such as textiles, agriculture and sanitary and phytosanitary measures, where the WTO goes beyond the GATT by having established specific trade rules. Under the WTO, the procedure for settling trade disputes has also been strengthened.
Conclusions
Le progrès économique entraîne des bouleversements dans l’économie, imposant toujours un arbitrage inévitable entre les bénéfices de la croissance et le coût de l’ajustement. L’époque actuelle ne fait pas exception. L’expansion de l’économie mondiale, stimulée par les progrès technologiques et l’ouverture des marchés, accroît le bien-être et améliore les conditions de vie de milliards de personnes dans le monde. Mais elle entraîne aussi des changements économiques, des déplacements et des perturbations, ce qui crée une énorme pression sur les individus et les sociétés qui doivent s’adapter pour pouvoir suivre le rythme du progrès économique et en récolter les bénéfices.
The Impact of Tariff Liberalization on the Labor Share in India’s Manufacturing Industry
India opened its domestic market to international trade in the early 1990s. The decision had profound implications on the development trajectory of the country. Trade opening allowed the country’s firms to source inputs more cheaply and increase their competitiveness. At the same time, it meant that firms in India were exposed to increased competition from abroad, while consumers enjoyed lower prices for final goods. While the trade opening helped boost economic growth, it required an adjustment of capital and labor within and across sectors.
WTO accession and the private sector: The nexus of rules and market opportunities
A country’s bid for WTO membership can promote a feeling of challenge and uncertainty among members of the private sector as the long-established methods of conducting business are susceptible to undergoing considerable change. In order to overcome the potential resistance to this change, acceding governments have responded to the concerns of their businesses by adopting strategies to raise awareness of the long-term benefits of reform during the negotiating period. In this chapter we document some of the benefits related to trade and investment for Article XII members that have undertaken awareness raising strategies and necessary reforms during their accession processes. This chapter underlines that accession commitments, which are critical to bringing about domestic policy and regulatory reforms, need to be implemented in the right spirit to develop business competitiveness in the long run.
Introduction
Trade, the exchange of goods, services and information between individuals or groups, is as old as human history. Expanding trade is a central component of the increasing connectedness among countries.
Definición de las subvenciones
En las etapas iniciales del GATT se prestó escasa atención a la repercusión de las subvenciones en el comercio. Sin embargo, las partes contratantes pronto se dieron cuenta de la necesidad de abordar las subvenciones para salvaguardar el valor de las concesiones arancelarias acordadas. Un país puede debilitar los compromisos de acceso a los mercados que ha contraído proporcionando subvenciones a las ramas de producción que compiten con las importaciones. Además, debido a las subvenciones concedidas a los exportadores que compiten en los mercados de terceros países, se puede desviar el comercio de un país que había confiado en el acceso negociado a esos mercados. Estas inquietudes propiciaron la elaboración de disciplinas sobre las subvenciones más estrictas que las previstas inicialmente en el GATT (de 1947). Un paso importante fue la negociación del “Código de Subvenciones”, de carácter plurilateral, durante la Ronda de Tokio, y, posteriormente, del Acuerdo sobre Subvenciones y Medidas Compensatorias (Acuerdo SMC) y del Acuerdo sobre la Agricultura.
The influence of customer buying behaviour on product flow patterns between trading countries, and the implications for regulatory policy
This paper is designed to provide a more granular perspective than the traditional aggregate view that economists take of supply chains. In particular, I want to add a behavioural dimension, and introduce a more dynamic methodology, capable of addressing the increasingly volatile operating environments that are likely to pervade future trading conditions within and between countries, whether developed or developing.
Vers une nouvelle ère numérique
Cette section décrit l’essor des technologies numériques et identifie les facteurs technologiques qui ont contribué à leur croissance. Elle examine comment les technologies numériques transforment l’économie en créant de nouveaux marchés, de nouveaux biens et de nouveaux services, et elle aborde certaines préoccupations apparues en parallèle concernant la confidentialité, la concentration du marché, l’incidence sur la productivité et la fracture numérique. Cette section passe aussi en revue les défis qu’il faut relever, sur le plan de la méthodologie et des données, pour mesurer la valeur des transactions numériques et le commerce numérique, et elle présente des estimations provenant d’organisations internationales, d’autorités nationales, ainsi que des rapports financiers de plusieurs entreprises bien connues.

