Economic research and trade policy analysis
Executive summary
In the digital age, a growing number of governments have adopted policies aimed at boosting growth through innovation and technological upgrading. The domestic economic fallout linked to the COVID-19 pandemic is leading countries to strengthen these policies. This report looks at those trends, and at how trade and the WTO fit into them. It shows that international cooperation could play a significant role in making countries’ pursuit of such goals more effective, while minimizing the negative spill-overs from national policies.
Quelques tendances observées sur le moyen terme
Le commerce international des combustibles et des produits pharmaceutiques s’est développé à un rythme supérieur à la moyenne ces dernières années, ce qui a modifié la structure du commerce mondial des marchandises. Ces modifications sont analysées ci-après.
Conclusiones
En las últimas décadas, los servicios se han convertido en la espina dorsal de la economía mundial y en el componente más dinámico del comercio internacional. Cada vez es más fácil comercializarlos, en gran medida gracias a la digitalización. Desde la enseñanza en línea hasta los estudios jurídicos virtuales, la tecnología está penetrando en todos los sectores de servicios y transformando los que tradicionalmente se prestaban de forma presencial en servicios comerciables a distancia. El comercio, que durante mucho tiempo ha estado dominado por el intercambio de mercancías, se vincula cada vez más a los servicios, un proceso que está transformando la economía mundial.
The digital economy, GVCs and SMEs
Although small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) represent the vast majority of firms worldwide, their participation in international trade remains limited relative to their share of overall economic activity and employment as compared to large firms. The rise of the digital economy could, however, open a range of new opportunities for small firms to play a more active role in global value chains (GVCs). This chapter reviews evidence of SME participation in international trade and production networks and looks at how the digitalization of our economies is already affecting, or could affect future, SME contributions to GVCs. New research by Lanz et al. (2018) finds evidence that digitally-connected SMEs in developing countries tend to import a higher share of their inputs than non-digitally-connected firms. Additionally, it is shown that this positive digital effect is greater for SMEs than it is for large firms. The chapter reviews the various opportunities that the digital economy opens for SMEs, especially in terms of cost reductions and the emergence of new business models, but also discusses policy measures that could be taken to promote SME participation in GVCs. Indeed, significant challenges remain for SMEs to enter GVCs, some of which are exacerbated by the new digital economy. A holistic approach that combines investment in ICT infrastructure and human capital with trade policy measures and measures to improve the business environment, access to finance and logistics, and promote innovation and R&D is necessary. Improving the availability of data would also help to better understand and integrate SMEs in GVCs.
Situación del comercio en 2007
En 2007, se desaceleró el crecimiento de la producción y el comercio mundiales. El debilitamiento de la demanda en las economías desarrolladas redujo el crecimiento económico mundial del 3,7 por ciento al 3,4 por ciento, aproximadamente la tasa media registrada durante el último decenio. En las regiones en desarrollo, el crecimiento, próximo al 7 por ciento, fue casi tres veces superior al de las regiones desarrolladas y la contribución de los países en desarrollo al crecimiento de la producción mundial fue superior al 40 por ciento en 2007.1 La expansión económica de los países menos adelantados igualó la tasa de crecimiento del conjunto de los países en desarrollo en 2007, perpetuando un modelo que se mantiene desde el año 2000.
Are there different rules for least-developed countries in a rule-based system?
In July 2012, the WTO General Council agreed on a set of new and improved guidelines to facilitate and accelerate negotiations on the accession to the WTO of least-developed countries (LDCs). The process of acceding to the WTO is complex, time-consuming and resource-intensive for candidate countries, and for LDCs, which have limited institutional and administrative capacity, in particular. The WTO accession process is very much a political process, and requires countries to undertake far-reaching domestic reforms in order to be in a position to implement WTO rules from day one of membership, as well as to benefit from MFN market access from WTO members and vice versa. The prolonged accession process is designed to enable acceding LDCs (and others) to acquire the knowledge and expertise to negotiate not only the terms and conditions for their membership, but also to function as viable members of the rules-based system. This chapter examines the enhanced guidelines and asks whether the WTO needs to improve the procedures for the benefit of LDCs and of the WTO. It examines how the WTO accession process and procedures, as well as the scope of the reforms it requires, compare to EU considerations in the process of its enlargement, and argues that, while the enhanced LDC accession guidelines have made an important contribution, some additional steps may need to be contemplated in the future. However, before a further enhancement is contemplated, it must be understood that the accession process, and the substance of WTO accession negotiations, in all serious institutions, are based on a partnership. This is a fundamental lesson from all successfully completed accessions and enlargement processes. The process is neither unilateral nor automatic.
The WTO agreements relevant to health
The World Trade Organization (WTO) is a relatively new international organization. However, it is responsible for a system that is over 50 years old. Established on 1 January 1995, the WTO replaced the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), which dated back to 1948. This was a consequence of a decision taken by governments after seven and a half years of negotiations (the "Uruguay Round"), which ended in 1994. With the WTO's creation, the rules were expanded to new areas. While the GATT dealt with trade in goods only, the WTO covers trade in services and intellectual property as well. There are also some areas, such as textiles, agriculture and sanitary and phytosanitary measures, where the WTO goes beyond the GATT by having established specific trade rules. Under the WTO, the procedure for settling trade disputes has also been strengthened.
Conclusions
Le progrès économique entraîne des bouleversements dans l’économie, imposant toujours un arbitrage inévitable entre les bénéfices de la croissance et le coût de l’ajustement. L’époque actuelle ne fait pas exception. L’expansion de l’économie mondiale, stimulée par les progrès technologiques et l’ouverture des marchés, accroît le bien-être et améliore les conditions de vie de milliards de personnes dans le monde. Mais elle entraîne aussi des changements économiques, des déplacements et des perturbations, ce qui crée une énorme pression sur les individus et les sociétés qui doivent s’adapter pour pouvoir suivre le rythme du progrès économique et en récolter les bénéfices.
The Impact of Tariff Liberalization on the Labor Share in India’s Manufacturing Industry
India opened its domestic market to international trade in the early 1990s. The decision had profound implications on the development trajectory of the country. Trade opening allowed the country’s firms to source inputs more cheaply and increase their competitiveness. At the same time, it meant that firms in India were exposed to increased competition from abroad, while consumers enjoyed lower prices for final goods. While the trade opening helped boost economic growth, it required an adjustment of capital and labor within and across sectors.
WTO accession and the private sector: The nexus of rules and market opportunities
A country’s bid for WTO membership can promote a feeling of challenge and uncertainty among members of the private sector as the long-established methods of conducting business are susceptible to undergoing considerable change. In order to overcome the potential resistance to this change, acceding governments have responded to the concerns of their businesses by adopting strategies to raise awareness of the long-term benefits of reform during the negotiating period. In this chapter we document some of the benefits related to trade and investment for Article XII members that have undertaken awareness raising strategies and necessary reforms during their accession processes. This chapter underlines that accession commitments, which are critical to bringing about domestic policy and regulatory reforms, need to be implemented in the right spirit to develop business competitiveness in the long run.
Introduction
Trade, the exchange of goods, services and information between individuals or groups, is as old as human history. Expanding trade is a central component of the increasing connectedness among countries.
Definición de las subvenciones
En las etapas iniciales del GATT se prestó escasa atención a la repercusión de las subvenciones en el comercio. Sin embargo, las partes contratantes pronto se dieron cuenta de la necesidad de abordar las subvenciones para salvaguardar el valor de las concesiones arancelarias acordadas. Un país puede debilitar los compromisos de acceso a los mercados que ha contraído proporcionando subvenciones a las ramas de producción que compiten con las importaciones. Además, debido a las subvenciones concedidas a los exportadores que compiten en los mercados de terceros países, se puede desviar el comercio de un país que había confiado en el acceso negociado a esos mercados. Estas inquietudes propiciaron la elaboración de disciplinas sobre las subvenciones más estrictas que las previstas inicialmente en el GATT (de 1947). Un paso importante fue la negociación del “Código de Subvenciones”, de carácter plurilateral, durante la Ronda de Tokio, y, posteriormente, del Acuerdo sobre Subvenciones y Medidas Compensatorias (Acuerdo SMC) y del Acuerdo sobre la Agricultura.
The influence of customer buying behaviour on product flow patterns between trading countries, and the implications for regulatory policy
This paper is designed to provide a more granular perspective than the traditional aggregate view that economists take of supply chains. In particular, I want to add a behavioural dimension, and introduce a more dynamic methodology, capable of addressing the increasingly volatile operating environments that are likely to pervade future trading conditions within and between countries, whether developed or developing.
Vers une nouvelle ère numérique
Cette section décrit l’essor des technologies numériques et identifie les facteurs technologiques qui ont contribué à leur croissance. Elle examine comment les technologies numériques transforment l’économie en créant de nouveaux marchés, de nouveaux biens et de nouveaux services, et elle aborde certaines préoccupations apparues en parallèle concernant la confidentialité, la concentration du marché, l’incidence sur la productivité et la fracture numérique. Cette section passe aussi en revue les défis qu’il faut relever, sur le plan de la méthodologie et des données, pour mesurer la valeur des transactions numériques et le commerce numérique, et elle présente des estimations provenant d’organisations internationales, d’autorités nationales, ainsi que des rapports financiers de plusieurs entreprises bien connues.
How do we prepare for the technology-induced reshaping of trade?
This section examines how international trade cooperation can help governments all over the world harness digital technologies and seize the new trading opportunities they will create for firms both large and small. Section D.1 summarizes the main opportunities and challenges that arise with the expansion of digital trade. Section D.2 provides examples of the policies that governments put in place to exploit these opportunities and to address these challenges. Section D.3 then considers whether and how international cooperation can help governments exploit the gains from digital trade, cope with the challenges and at the same time achieve their public policy objectives, now and in the future.
Introduction
Provisional application of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT 1947) began 70 years ago, in 1948, and the same year the first GATT dispute was initiated. In total, 316 disputes were brought under the GATT 1947 and related agreements in its almost 50 years of provisional application.
Introducción
En todo el mundo, los Gobiernos intervienen de manera activa y abierta en las economías con el fin de impulsar la innovación, generar nuevas tecnologías y fomentar las industrias de vanguardia. Esas intervenciones pueden tener repercusiones positivas o negativas, especialmente en la economía mundial hiperconectada de hoy en día. Por una parte, pueden ampliar los conocimientos, aumentar la productividad y difundir las herramientas esenciales de crecimiento y desarrollo mundiales. Pero, por otra parte, también pueden distorsionar el comercio, desviar las inversiones y beneficiar a una economía en detrimento de otra. La cooperación y las normas internacionales son más necesarias que nunca para asegurar que el nuevo interés de los Gobiernos por las políticas en materia de innovación y tecnología maximice los efectos indirectos positivos y minimice los negativos, y para asegurar también que la carrera por el liderazgo tecnológico no se transforme en una lucha por el dominio tecnológico. El Informe sobre el comercio mundial 2020 analiza el papel de las políticas en materia de innovación y tecnología en una economía mundial cada día más digitalizada, y explica la función de la OMC en ese contexto cambiante.
Remerciements
Le Rapport sur le commerce mondial 2006 a été rédigé sous la supervision d’Alejandro Jara, Directeur général adjoint. Patrick Low, Directeur de la Division de la recherche économique et des statistiques, a dirigé l’équipe chargée de la rédaction. Les principaux auteurs du rapport sont Marc Bacchetta, Bijit Bora, K. Michael Finger, Marion Jansen, Alexander Keck, Clarisse Morgan, Roberta Piermartini et Robert Teh. Les statistiques commerciales ont été fournies par les statisticiens de la Division de la recherche économique et des statistiques, dont les travaux ont été coordonnés par Guy Karsenty, Julia de Verteuil, Andreas Maurer et Jürgen Richtering.
Agradecimientos
El Informe sobre el Comercio Mundial 2005 ha sido elaborado bajo la supervisión general del Director General Adjunto Dr. Kipkorir Aly Azad Rana. Patrick Low, Director de la División de Estudios Económicos y Estadística, dirigió el equipo encargado de redactar el Informe. Los autores principales del Informe son Marc Bachetta, Bijit Bora, K. Michael Finger, Marion Jansen, Alexander Keck, Roberta Piermartini y Robert Teh. Hildegunn Kyvik Nordas, ex funcionaria de la División de Estudios Económicos y Estadística, es coautora del ensayo sobre deslocalización. Mireille Cossy, de la División de Comercio de Servicios, también colaboró en ese ensayo. Robert Anderson, de la División de Propiedad Intelectual, y Pierre Latrille, de la División de Comercio de Servicios, son coautores del ensayo sobre servicios de transporte aéreo. Lee Ann Jackson, de la División de Agricultura y Productos Básicos, es coautora de las partes del Capítulo II relativas a las normas. Las estadísticas comerciales y la información arancelaria fueron facilitadas por el grupo de estadística de la División de Estudios Económicos y Estadística, bajo la coordinación de Guy Karsenty, Julia de Verteuil, Andreas Maurer y Jürgen Richtering.
Domestic framework for making and enforcing policies
A core objective of accession results is to establish a legal foundation for the conduct and management of trade policy based on the rule of law. Implementation of accession commitments hinges on the existence of an effective domestic framework for making and enforcing policies. Customarily, this is described in the third chapter of working party reports. Twenty-eight of the members that acceded pursuant to procedures in Article XII of the Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization (WTO Agreement), have undertaken a total of fifty-five accession-specific commitments in this regard. The uniquely definable pattern that has emerged from WTO Accession Protocols confirms the uniform applicability of the WTO Agreement throughout and across the entirety of the customs territory of the new member, the exclusive authority of central governments to implement and enforce WTO rules, the strengthening of due process and the rule of law, and the precedence of ratified international treaties over domestic legislation, in many instances. These commitments are integral to the WTO Agreement and are enforceable under the WTO Dispute Settlement Understanding. Although normative and standard, they confirm the long-standing accession practice that a range of original members have not confirmed and from which several deviate. This chapter studies the specific accession-specific commitments in the domestic framework for making and enforcing policies. It also investigates the relationship between Accession Protocols and domestic legal systems and asks whether original members undertook similar obligations.
Mutual recognition of services regulation at the WTO
Mutual recognition is a useful tool for international liberalization in particular contexts. However, it has two types of limit, and to the extent that it may exceed these limits, it poses two important types of risk.
WTO Accession Negotiations from a Negotiator’s Perspective
This chapter considers political, commercial and legal aspects of accession negotiations and the compromises by all parties involved to make accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) a reality. Using the negotiations on the accessions of the Russian Federation and Samoa as case studies, this chapter analyses how political constraints, economic interests and legal commitments affected the course of the negotiations. In the case of the Russian Federation, the focus was on certain investment programmes in the automotive industry that were deemed inconsistent with the Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures (TRIMs). Agreement on these measures required prolonged negotiations, including at ministerial levels, to find a satisfactory solution for all parties involved. In the case of Samoa, attention was focused on the appropriate level of flexibility to be granted to a least-developed country (LDC), as the expansion of LDC membership is a priority for the Organization, in accordance with the Guidelines on LDCs’ accessions. The chapter concludes that the experience of accession negotiations has helped to define domestic reform in acceding members, clarify the application of WTO provisions in practice, upgrade regional integration frameworks and counter negative political pressures. These lessons can be used in negotiations by other acceding economies and constitute important building blocks of the upper floors of the international trading system.
Export duty commitments: The treaty dialogue and the pattern of commitments
This chapter focuses, pursuant to Article XII accession-specific commitments, on the evolving disciplines on export duties, distinguished from the broader setting of export restrictions. From a rules angle, export duties were not subject to disciplines, in contrast to import duties that have, classically, been bound in schedules of concessions and commitments on goods since GATT 1947. Pursuant to Article XI:1 of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) 1994 (rules for ‘quantitative restrictions’), prohibitions or restrictions on imports and exports, such as bans, quotas and restrictive licences, are generally prohibited, except for duties, taxes or other charges. In economic operations, export duties with price discrimination effects between domestic and foreign producers have resulted in efficiency losses and anti-competitiveness, and have undermined economic welfare. In accession negotiations, the establishment of disciplines and improvement in economic welfare has framed the treaty dialogue. This dialogue has made evident a range of issues that are systemic and that have involved questions on international economic cooperation, revolving around the broader use of export restrictions and their overlap with export duties. This chapter reviews the substance of the treaty dialogue on export duties and identifies the extent and pattern of specific obligations on export duties in the Article XII Accession Protocols deposited thus far. The analysis shows that fifteen Article XII members have accepted accession-specific obligations on the application of export duties. These obligations range across ‘abiding’ by the provisions of the WTO Agreement; ‘binding and/or fixing’ applied export duty rates; and, ‘reducing’, ‘eliminating’ or ‘foreclosing’ on the use of such duties. Of precedential value is the modification of the classical 1947 architecture of the GATT Goods Schedule to create a Part V on Export Duties in the context of the WTO accession commitments of Russia in its Goods Schedule. This chapter argues that accession-specific commitments have deepened and extended original WTO rules governing export duties as an instrument of trade policy. The overall systemic effect has been positive, namely to constrain, reduce, eliminate and/or bind, hence contributing to clarity and predictability of the rules with pro-competitive effects, enhancement of market access opportunities and improvements in economic welfare. The chapter argues that WTO accession-specific obligations for export duties have set the multilateral standard for disciplines in this area. Nevertheless, it is worrying that even as the disciplines on export duties are being formulated and strengthened via Article XII members, the facts suggest the higher use of such export duties by original members over the period from 2003 to 2009.
Supply chains and SMEs
Small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) present an issue of significant political and economic interest as they create jobs and drive development in developing and advanced countries. However, there is a perception that SMEs face a conundrum in the new realities brought about by globalisation. While supply chains present a portal for SMEs into international markets, they also open up SME market niches to encroaching large-sized enterprises (LEs). The competitive capabilities imparted by supply chain management (SCM) literature is suggested here for SMEs to compete against LEs; a slingshot in the battle between David and Goliath. The literature, however, reveals a controversy over whether SCM, in reality, helps or hurts SMEs. Some of the reasoning points to the presence of an LE perspective bias, and SMEs sometimes consider SCM as a threat, not a solution. The recent literature is addressing this issue by taking up the SME perspective, but the question of an SCM for SMEs is still in a very early stage of development. More effort will be required to gather data and build theory for SMEs in both developed and developing markets.
Resumen
el Informe sobre el Comercio Mundial 2009 se centra principalmente en ciertas medidas de contingencia a que pueden recurrir los Miembros de la OMC en el ámbito de la importación y exportación de mercancías. El marco jurídico de estas medidas está mucho menos desarrollado en el caso del comercio de servicios, aunque este asunto también se analiza.
Quelques objectifs déclarés des subventions publiques
Dans cette section, il sera question des principaux objectifs que les pouvoirs publics prétendent poursuivre au moyen des subventions, tels que le développement industriel, l’innovation, le soutien de “champions“ nationaux, la protection de l’environnement et la redistribution. Sous la rubrique générale de la “redistribution“, nous examinerons trois objectifs plus spécifiques: l’utilisation de subventions à des fins de politique régionale, l’aide à l’ajustement pour les secteurs en déclin et les obligations de service universel. Ce choix ne prétend pas être exhaustif, mais il couvre certains des principaux objectifs poursuivis par les gouvernements des pays en développement et des pays développés.
Domestic regulations in Malaysia’s higher education sector
The growth of private higher education institutions (PHEIs) in Malaysia is politically and economically motivated. Excess demand and the use of ethnic quotas in a limited number of public universities with the implementation of the New Economic Policy in 1970 had raised the potential for inter-ethnic conflicts in multi-ethnic Malaysia. The government therefore utilized private provision to supplement public supply, thereby increasing access and reducing the possibility of inter-ethnic conflicts due to limited access. Over time, the perennial deficit in services trade since independence in 1957 contributed to the idea of using private higher education to reduce student outflows and its negative impact on services trade and, instead, to increase export revenues through inflows of international students. This led to the aspiration to be a regional hub for higher education based on Malaysia’s comparative advantage in terms of costs and language via the use of English in transnational programmes offered in PHEIs, with degrees awarded by parent institutions in developed countries such as Australia and the United Kingdom.
Trade and Poverty Reduction in the Asia-Pacific Region
This book explores the complex relationship between international trade and poverty reduction through a combination of research papers and contemporary case studies. Written mainly by developing country authors in consultation with local businesses and communities, the case studies contribute to our understanding of the ways in which low-income communities are dealing with trade as a practical challenge, especially in the Asia-Pacific region where approximately two thirds of the world’s poor live. While making it clear that there is no ‘one size fits all’ formula, the research and stories highlight a number of necessary preconditions – such as political commitment and cooperation at all levels – if trade is to successfully reduce poverty. Openness to trade, serious commitment to domestic reform, trade-related capacity building, a robust and responsible private sector and access to the markets of developed countries are all identified as powerful tools for building trade-related sustainable development.
Overview
The goal of this report is to improve the understanding of the impacts of trade and trade policy on gender equality, and to provide policy makers with evidence on the benefits of trade for women and with potential policy solutions. The report uses a conceptual framework that illustrates the diverse transmission channels through which trade and trade policy can affect women, according to three key economic roles they play: workers, consumers, and decision makers. The report also gathers and analyzes new data1 to show how trade and trade policy can affect women and men differentlyin wages, consumption, and welfare, and in the quality and quantity of jobs available to them. New empirical analysis based on these data suggests that expanding trade can act as an impetus for countries to improve womens rights and boost female participation in the economy.

