Development and building trade capacity
The role of international economic law in addressing climate change
Low- and middle-income countries face supply-side constraints such as technical capacities adequate hard infrastructure capacities human capital (above all knowhow) access to adequate credit and access to environmental goods and services that affect their capacity to address climate change and other environmental issues. This chapter discusses how the existing framework of international economic law may constrain the ability of low- or middle-income countries to overcome such supply-side constraints in order to address their or their trading partners’ environmental concerns regarding climate change and be included in global value chains. We will consider what should be done from a legal perspective what might be achieved and the likely implications of international economic law for acquiring and implementing environmentally friendly technologies and financing climate change mitigation and adaptation.
The potential economic impact of Aid for Trade in the MENA region: The case of Jordan
Many developing and least-developed countries (LDCs) remain on the margins of global trade attract limited foreign or domestic investment and have achieved only very limited success in the diversification of their supply of goods and services. Within the framework of Aid for Trade (AFT) attempts are being made to explore strategies to connect firms in developing countries and LDCs to international value chains. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has defined AFT as projects and programmes that have been identified as trade development priorities in the recipient country’s national development strategies. The AFT Task Force established in 2006 underlined that clear and agreed benchmarks are necessary for the global monitoring of AFT efforts. The following categories of AFT were identified: trade policy and regulations (including trade facilitation); trade development; trade-related infrastructure; building productive capacity; trade-related adjustment; and other trade-related needs. According to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) developing countries that have participated in international trade – including trade with other emerging economies – make rapid progress in poverty reduction and job creation (UNDP 2013).
Acknowledgements
This volume has been produced under the WTO Chairs Programme (WCP) a WTO capacity-building programme launched upon the initiative of Hakim Ben Hammouda and Patrick Low in 2010. The WCP is jointly managed by the WTO’s Institute for Training and Technical Cooperation and Economic Research and Statistics Division under the direction of Bridget Chilala and Robert Teh respectively. The editors thank Fatima Chaudhri and Gerardo Thielen for their contribution to the initial stages of this book project and Clémence Gros for editorial assistance. Anthony Martin and Helen Swain are thanked for managing the production process of the volume.
Can developing countries use SPS standards to gain access to markets? The case of Mercosur
The role of sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) standards in agri-business has changed over the past decade from being a technical instrument to avoid the use of food safety animal and plant health measures for protectionist purposes to being a competitive instrument in differentiated product markets (Reardon et al. 2001). The change from mass markets to differentiated and niche markets for consumers with higher purchasing power triggered this shift towards SPS measures as a strategic tool for developing and differentiating markets gaining market access coordinating the quality and safety of the food system and defining market niches for those products. On the demand side high-income consumers with varied and sophisticated tastes have buttressed this change and on the supply side so have production processing and distribution technologies that allow for product differentiation and market extension and segmentation (Reardon et al. 2001).
Integrating into the multilateral trading system and global value chains: The case of Russia
For most countries foreign trade makes a critical contribution to the national economy and the Russian Federation is no exception to this. Over the last five years the world economy has been strongly affected by the global economic crisis which also seriously affected the Russian economy in general and its foreign trade in particular.
Connecting to Global Markets
This book brings together contributions from the 14 WTO chair-holders of the first phase of the WTO Chairs Programme (2010-2014). The volume is divided into four sections focusing on export diversification the role of non-tariff measures the rule of law in connecting to global markets and the role of the Aid for Trade initiative in building trade capacity and overcoming supply side constraints.
Fundamental economic factors affecting international trade
The previous section has shown that the future of trade and economic growth depends on a range of factors. Predictions may change depending on how each of these factors develops. This section discusses how the fundamental economic factors shaping the future of international trade – namely demography investment technology energy and other natural resources transportation costs and the institutional framework – are likely to evolve in the coming years.
Trends in international trade
A comprehensive and fruitful analysis of the shaping factors of international trade and their implications for trade policy cannot be performed without having a clear idea of the evolution of trade patterns over time. This part of the Report analyses past present and future trends in international trade and economic activity. It begins with a historical analysis of trade developments from pre-industrial times to the present focusing on the key role that technology and institutions have played in the past. It then identifies and explains important trends in international trade that have emerged over the last 30 years. In doing so the section describes who the main players are in international trade (in terms of countries or companies) what countries trade and with whom and how the nature of trade has changed over time. Finally it provides some illustrative simulations of possible future trade scenarios.
Executive summary
The World Trade Report 2013 examines likely trends in world trade and how current and future economic social and political factors might weigh on these trends. Relationships are not uni-directional with trade being both the cause and effect of certain developments.
Introduction
Long-term forecasts are chronically difficult. It is unlikely that “revolutionary” events such as the explosion of communication and interactive facilities that shape our current way of life from social networking to international offshoring could have been predicted 20 years ago with any degree of precision. Nevertheless even though attempts to predict the future may to a large extent rely on extrapolations of current trends these efforts may help to take stock of important developments and identify challenges arising from changes that we are likely to face.
Foreword by the WTO Director-General
This year’s World Trade Report looks at how trade and other forces of change are affecting our world. It combines contemporary analysis with conjecture about the future. The approach is eclectic reflecting many different forces at work. The intermingling of these drivers of change is multidirectional and complex and the pace of change is rapid.
Trade openness and the broader socio-economic context
Section C showed how fundamental economic factors – demography investment technology natural resources transportation and institutions – can affect the future of trade. But trade takes place within a broader socio-economic context. This context matters for trade and trade policy. Historically social and macroeconomic concerns have repeatedly influenced decisions in trade policy matters. Section B of this report provided examples of such situations. Both themes are currently high on the political agenda and will undoubtedly affect policy-makers’ views and positions in the area of trade reform in the future. A third factor relates to environmental concerns an issue that has rapidly been gaining prominence in the national regional and global policy debate. It has also been repeatedly linked to trade notably in the context of a number of high-profile WTO disputes in the context of regional trade agreements and as an element of the on-going Doha Development Agenda.
Conclusions
This report has examined the forces that will shape the future of world trade. These forces are complex and numerous. They interact with trade itself and with each other as well as being influenced by government policy. One thing seems clear: the landscape and nature of world trade are changing fast. As trade evolves new policy challenges will arise. If properly managed international trade will further increase prosperity around the globe. What are the main issues therefore that policy-makers need to take into account?
Trade developments in 2012 and early 2013
World trade growth fell to 2.0 per cent in 2012 from 5.2 per cent in 2011 and remained sluggish in the opening months of 2013 as the economic slowdown in Europe suppressed global import demand. The abrupt deceleration of trade in 2012 was mainly attributable to slow growth in developed economies and recurring bouts of uncertainty over the future of the euro. Flagging output and high unemployment in developed countries reduced imports and fed through to a lower pace of export growth in both developed and developing economies. More positive economic developments in the United States in the early months of 2013 were offset by lingering weakness in the European Union as peripheral euro area economies continued to struggle and even core euro area economies increasingly felt the impact of the downturn in the region.
World Trade Report 2013
The world is changing with extraordinary rapidity driven by many influences including shifts in production and consumption patterns continuing technological innovation new ways of doing business and of course policy. The World Trade Report 2013 focuses on how trade is both a cause and an effect of change and looks into the factors shaping the future of world trade. One of the most significant drivers of change is technology. Not only have revolutions in transport and communications transformed our world but new developments such as 3D printing and the continuing spread of information technology will continue to do so. Trade and foreign direct investment together with a greater geographical spread of income growth and opportunity will integrate a growing number of countries into more extensive international exchange. Higher incomes and larger populations will put new strains on both renewable and non-renewable resources calling for careful resource management. Environmental issues will also call for increasing attention.
Prospects for multilateral trade cooperation
This section explores the relevance of current trade rules – as well as the need for new approaches to trade cooperation – in light of the forces that are currently re-shaping international trade. It suggests that the multilateral trading system will need to adjust to developments in trade and in the trading environment – as it has done repeatedly in the past – and reviews proposals for updating the WTO’s agenda and governance. The section starts with a short overview of key trade developments within the broader socio-economic context – especially the rise of global supply chains the general shift of trade power away from the West and towards Asia and other emerging economies as well as the changing nature composition and direction of trade. It then highlights some of the main challenges facing the WTO and how they could be addressed.
Competition Policy and Poverty Reduction
This paper examines the role of competition law and policy as tools for poverty reduction and development. The authors put forward five related principles building upon the important work on related issues that has been done by the OECD the International Competition Network (ICN) UNCTAD and civil society organizations such as CUTS in recent years in addition to the earlier work done on these topics in the WTO Working Group on the Interaction between Trade and Competition Policy when that body was active from 1997 through 2003. Together these principles comprise the "holistic approach" to competition law and policy which is referenced in the title of the paper: First the focus of policy makers in using competition policy as tool for poverty reduction should be on approaches that are relatively easy to implement but have a trackrecord of being effective and economically sound. Second for competition policy reforms and legislation to be successful public acceptance and support is critical and must be an essential focus of related initiatives. Third to serve as an effective tool of poverty reduction competition policy needs to address the needs of the citizens of poorer societies in their capacities as producers (and therefore as users of extensive input goods and services including public infrastructure) in addition to their capacities as final consumers/households. Fourth it is posited that "competition policy" is more than just "what competition agencies do" and includes the full spectrum of measures that governments employ to enhance competition and improve the performance of markets. Fifth in order to address the challenges posed by the changing landscape of competition policy worldwide new forms of international co-operation may need to be considered. The paper then develops the application of these principles with respect to five specific areas in which competition policy can contribute to poverty reduction namely: (i) the reform of public and business infrastructure sectors particularly in the context of developing and transition economies; (ii) the complementary roles of competition law enforcement and market liberalization in public procurement markets; (iii) various related dimensions of competition policy as they relate to public health objectives; (iv) the addressing of possible monopsonistic practices in international supply chains that may affect the ability of developing country producers to reap gains from participation in international markets; and (v) measures to address the enduring problem of international cartels which despite an impressive record of prosecutions by developed jurisdiction competition agencies over the past decade continue to impose substantial costs on developing economies. The paper concludes with some observations regarding the future of international cooperation in the competition policy sphere.